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23

contain. Leakage has the potential

to cause catastrophic events and

environmental devastation. It was

necessary, especially in the early

days of the industry, to over-

engineer. The underlying

reliability targets inherited and

adopted in the offshore wind

sector have largely derived from

trying to prevent catastrophic

events in pipelines.

“What we need to be looking to

do is move towards bespoke

design guidelines actually geared

towards the fundamental risks and

opportunities of subsea cables."

CABLES

Cables are very important. While

they cost roughly 9% of the

project CAPEX, they represent 80–

90% of insurance claims. Despite

being a relatively modest

proportion of the project cost,

therefore, cables are a

fundamentally unacceptably large

proportion of the reason for the

failure of wind farms to deliver.

“We are proposing that the

industry moves away from a

one-size-fits-all target of

reliability and actually

progresses towards setting

bespoke cable reliability targets

that are actually fit for purpose

in carrying the amount of power

that needs to be transmitted

through each cable.

“We suspect that will drive

fundamentally different cable

layouts as well,” said Griffiths.

“We have been able to identify

that across the offshore wind

sector, cables at the bottom of

the ocean are subject to very

different metocean criteria

because they have very different

response characteristics.

“What we've been able to do on

a number of projects is actually

re-evaluate the metocean

hindcast and redevelop fit for

purpose metocean design

criteria to suit the response

characteristics of the cables.“

CONSERVATIVE DESIGN

Since the early years of the

offshore industry, engineers have

adopted conservative

assumptions in the input

parameters.

“When it comes to subsea cables,

however, we repeatedly find there

is no universally conservative bias

that can be adopted. We can look

at the Goldilocks principle.”

In the eponymous fairy tale,

before Goldilocks went into the

house of the bears, she didn't

know which bowl of porridge or

which chair or which bed was the

right one for her. She had to try all

three.

“Similarly, the way in which we go

about designing subsea cables

needs to also stop making the

erroneous assumption that we can

both second guess and correct for

bias in each of the input

parameters. We need to model

these on a case-by-case basis until

we have reliable information.

“We recently carried out some

investigations on subsea cables

being installed for the Hollandse

Kust offshore wind farm in the

central North Sea to actually look

at what happens to real cables in

the real ocean conditions.

“That cable laying on the surface

was originally predicted to be

unstable, however using the

STABLEpipe design methodology

it was predicted that in reality the

cables would rapidly embed into

the seabed due to scour and

erosion.

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